The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Round 23 of the 2022 AFL season.
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At the time of writing the biggest Draftstars contest for this round is a $70,000 competition for Brisbane v Melbourne on Friday night. Entry costs $15 and the top 25% of participants will receive a payout.
GWS vs. Fremantle
This fixture is being played at Manuka Oval in Canberra, a venue that GWS have gone 0-5 at since 2021. Bookmakers have a good track record of predicting this fixture. Since 2013 GWS have gone 5-1 as the favourite against Fremantle and 0-6 as the underdog. GWS have only covered the line in 1 of their last 5 home games against Fremantle and in only 1 of their last 5 games against the Dockers when installed as the underdog. Fremantle have covered the line in their last three away fixtures and, with their finals seed still up in the air, the Dockers have much more to play for this weekend than the Giants. GWS have gone 1-4 both in the head-to-head and the line as the home underdog over the last twelve months. I would back Fremantle in the head-to-head at 1.43 (Unibet).
Essendon vs. Richmond
Since 2013 Richmond boast a 13-0 record when installed as the favourite against Essendon and they boast a twelve-game winning streak against the Bombers. Richmond have gone 10-3 at the MCG this season while Essendon have gone 1-6 at this venue. It’s a similar story in the line market, with Richmond going 10-3 at the line at the MCG this season while Essendon have gone 2-5 at the line. I would back Richmond in the head-to-head at 1.30 (PlayUp).
Carlton vs. Collingwood
The two sides were separated by just 4 points when they last clashed at the end of May. Carlton have yet to lose a game by 40+ points over the last twelve months while Collingwood have only suffered one 40+ loss over the same period. Nine of Carlton’s 12 wins over the last twelve months were by 1-39 points and 14 of Collingwood’s 15 wins were by the same margin. I would back both Carlton 1-39 at 2.50 (PlayUp) and Collingwood 1-39 at 2.50 (PlayUp).